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Bitcoin vs US Dollar Strength: Not So Straightforward

Bitcoin vs US Dollar Strength: Not So Straightforward

Does a weaker USD means stronger BTC?

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Ecoinometrics
Sep 16, 2024
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Bitcoin vs US Dollar Strength: Not So Straightforward
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There's a popular notion that Fed rate cuts will weaken the US Dollar, creating a tailwind for Bitcoin. Often, this idea is oversimplified to “weak US Dollar means strong Bitcoin”. But this relationship is too vague to be confirmed or refuted easily.

So today let’s try to be a bit more specific by focusing on where this is not true. 


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Bitcoin vs US Dollar Strength: Not So Straightforward

The Takeaway

The link between Bitcoin and US Dollar strength is more complex than often portrayed. While there's a correlation, it's not causal. 

As we approach Fed rate cuts, don't expect a dramatic dollar weakening or Bitcoin surge. Other central banks are also adjusting policies, moderating potential impacts. 

The real catalyst for significant Bitcoin movement would be a return to quantitative easing, which seems unlikely at the moment. It is still time for caution.

Bitcoin and US Dollar Strength: Correlation, not Causation

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