NASDAQ's 200-DMA Breach: A Warning Signal for Bitcoin

Rising chances of transitioning into a bearish pullback

Bitcoin is struggling right now. The price is under strong pressure from ETF outflows. And while the announcement of the US Bitcoin reserve made headlines, it isn't the type of news that can sustain long-term growth.

But that's not the most worrying thing. The bigger risk lies in what's happening in the broader market.

Let's talk about that.

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NASDAQ's 200-DMA Breach: A Warning Signal for Bitcoin

The Takeaway

The NASDAQ 100's recent drop below its 200-day moving average signals potential trouble for Bitcoin.

Market regime analysis shows a 45% chance of Bitcoin transitioning from neutral consolidation to a bearish pullback within 30 days if this situation persists.

Such a bearish phase typically brings -5% monthly returns and increased volatility, making the broader market trend a key risk factor for Bitcoin's near-term performance.

The NASDAQ-Bitcoin Connection